Prep Baseball Report

Arizona Rising Stars ID (Session II): Pitching Data Dive


Cam Black-Araujo
Arizona Operations

This past Saturday, the Prep Baseball Arizona staff hosted it's second Rising Stars ID of the season with the Arizona Rising Stars ID (Session II) at Grand Canyon University in Phoenix, Arizona. This event featured prospects from the 2028 and 2029 classes and served as an identifier for Arizona's Jr. Future Games team. The event featured over 30 prospects and allowed our staff to collect updates data and metrics via our series of tech partners.

Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis article. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

For complete event results, click here.
To view upcoming event schedule, click here.

FASTBALL

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Cooper LeRoy AZ Mesquite High School 2028 1B 85.4 mph
2 Russell Nelson AZ Casteel High School 2029 RHP 84.3 mph
3 Jackson Leigh AZ Pinnacle High School 2028 RHP 83.4 mph
4 Chase Fillman AZ Millennium 2028 OF 83.1 mph
5 Kingston Sinner AZ Saguaro High School 2028 OF 81.2 mph
6 Brock White AZ Mountain View High School 2028 SS 81.1 mph
7 Troy Tewers AZ Liberty High School 2028 3B 80.0 mph
8 Hugh Hurkmans AZ Corona Del Sol High School 2028 RHP 78.8 mph
9 Max Nibarger AZ Casteel 2028 SS 77.8 mph
10 Austin Webb AZ NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY 2028 RHP 76.7 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Troy Tewers AZ Liberty High School 2028 3B 2243 rpm
2 Kingston Sinner AZ Saguaro High School 2028 OF 2180 rpm
3 Russell Nelson AZ Casteel High School 2029 RHP 2159 rpm
4 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 1B 2145 rpm
5 Jackson Leigh AZ Pinnacle High School 2028 RHP 2098 rpm
6 JJ Lott AZ Chaparral High School 2028 LHP 2052 rpm
7 Brock White AZ Mountain View High School 2028 SS 2039 rpm
8 Max Nibarger AZ Casteel 2028 SS 1996 rpm
9 Martin Chavez Jr. AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 2B 1905 rpm
10 Austin Webb AZ NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY 2028 RHP 1886 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Cayden Mitchell AZ Desert Vista 2028 OF 16.0 in
2 Brock White AZ Mountain View High School 2028 SS 14.6 in
3 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 1B 14.3 in
4 Tallen Dannenfeldt AZ Perry High School 2028 1B 13.9 in
5 Kingston Sinner AZ Saguaro High School 2028 OF 13.7 in
6 Landon Swinehart AZ Millennium High School 2028 OF 13.6 in
7 Martin Chavez Jr. AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 2B 13.5 in
8 Cooper LeRoy AZ Mesquite High School 2028 1B 13.3 in
9 Hugh Hurkmans AZ Corona Del Sol High School 2028 RHP 12.3 in
10 Chase Fillman AZ Millennium 2028 OF 11.9 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Cruz Chavez AZ Chaparral 2028 1B -17.3
2 Braden Grimm AZ Horizon High School 2029 1B 15.5
3 Martin Chavez Jr. AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 2B 13.0
4 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 1B 11.4
5 Hugh Hurkmans AZ Corona Del Sol High School 2028 RHP 11.2
6 Jackson Leigh AZ Pinnacle High School 2028 RHP 10.2
7 Russell Nelson AZ Casteel High School 2029 RHP 10.2
8 Chase Fillman AZ Millennium 2028 OF -9.6
9 JJ Lott AZ Chaparral High School 2028 LHP -8.2
10 Max Nibarger AZ Casteel 2028 SS 8.1

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Landon Swinehart AZ Millennium High School 2028 OF 83 %
2 Martin Chavez Jr. AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 2B 66 %
^ Hunter Chambers AZ Verrado High School 2028 OF 66 %
^ Russell Nelson AZ Casteel High School 2029 RHP 66 %
3 Kingston Sinner AZ Saguaro High School 2028 OF 62 %
4 Braden Grimm AZ Horizon High School 2029 1B 60 %
5 Chase Fillman AZ Millennium 2028 OF 57 %
^ Hugh Hurkmans AZ Corona Del Sol High School 2028 RHP 57 %
^ Cayden Mitchell AZ Desert Vista 2028 OF 57 %

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Kingston Sinner AZ Saguaro High School 2028 OF 2421 rpm
2 Ricky Faulkner AZ Saguaro High School 2028 2B 2130 rpm
3 Jackson Leigh AZ Pinnacle High School 2028 RHP 2043 rpm
4 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 1B 1778 rpm
5 Tallen Dannenfeldt AZ Perry High School 2028 1B 1714 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Cayden Mitchell AZ Desert Vista 2028 OF 16.0 in
2 Brock White AZ Mountain View High School 2028 SS 14.6 in
3 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 1B 14.3 in
4 Tallen Dannenfeldt AZ Perry High School 2028 1B 13.9 in
5 Kingston Sinner AZ Saguaro High School 2028 OF 13.7 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Landon Swinehart AZ Millennium High School 2028 OF 10.9
2 Jackson Leigh AZ Pinnacle High School 2028 RHP -10.1
3 Tallen Dannenfeldt AZ Perry High School 2028 1B -8.5
4 Ricky Faulkner AZ Saguaro High School 2028 2B -7.8
5 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 1B -6.7

STRIKE ZONE %

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Landon Swinehart AZ Millennium High School 2028 OF 10.9
2 Jackson Leigh AZ Pinnacle High School 2028 RHP -10.1

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Chase Fillman AZ Millennium 2028 OF 2301
2 Max Nibarger AZ Casteel 2028 SS 2299
3 Martin Chavez Jr. AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 2B 2285
4 Troy Tewers AZ Liberty High School 2028 3B 2268
5 Ricky Faulkner AZ Saguaro High School 2028 2B 2169

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Chase Fillman AZ Millennium 2028 OF -12.2 in
2 Martin Chavez Jr. AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 2B -7.9 in
3 Cruz Chavez AZ Chaparral 2028 1B -6.7 in
4 Jackson Leigh AZ Pinnacle High School 2028 RHP -6.5 in
5 Cayden Mitchell AZ Desert Vista 2028 OF 5.7 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Hunter Chambers AZ Verrado High School 2028 OF -20.2
2 Max Nibarger AZ Casteel 2028 SS -19.1
3 Jackson Leigh AZ Pinnacle High School 2028 RHP -17.9
4 Chase Fillman AZ Millennium 2028 OF 13.5
5 Martin Chavez Jr. AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 2B -13.0

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Ricky Faulkner AZ Saguaro High School 2028 2B 100 %
2 Jayson Veit AZ Salpointe Catholic School 2028 1B 80 %
3 Austin Webb AZ NOTRE DAME PREPARATORY 2028 RHP 66 %
4 Russell Nelson AZ Casteel High School 2029 RHP 60 %
5 Hugh Hurkmans AZ Corona Del Sol High School 2028 RHP 50 %
^ Hunter Chambers AZ Verrado High School 2028 OF 50 %

CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Chase Fillman AZ Millennium 2028 OF -18.1
2 JJ Lott AZ Chaparral High School 2028 LHP -14.3
3 Jackson Leigh AZ Pinnacle High School 2028 RHP 13.4
4 Cruz Chavez AZ Chaparral 2028 1B -12.4
5 Braden Grimm AZ Horizon High School 2029 1B 12.1

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Brock White AZ Mountain View High School 2028 SS 80 %
2 Landon Swinehart AZ Millennium High School 2028 OF 60 %
^ Troy Tewers AZ Liberty High School 2028 3B 60 %
^ Hugh Hurkmans AZ Corona Del Sol High School 2028 RHP 60 %
3 Cruz Chavez AZ Chaparral 2028 1B 50 %
^ JJ Lott AZ Chaparral High School 2028 LHP 50 %

UPCOMING EVENTS

SHOWCASE STATE DATE LOCATION
Mesa Summer ID AZ 05/29 Desert Ridge High School - Mesa, AZ
2024 ProCase - West AZ 06/02 Pepperdine University
Top Prospect Games: Upperclass (Invite-Only) AZ 06/03 Grand Canyon University - Phoenix, AZ
Top Prospect Games: Underclass (Invite-Only) AZ 06/10 American Family Fields of Phoenix
West Side Summer ID AZ 06/18 Canyon View High School - Waddell, AZ
Glendale Summer ID AZ 07/16 Apollo High School - Glendale, AZ
Future Games (Class of 2026/27) NATIONAL 07/24 LakePoint Sports
Junior Future Games (Class of 2028/29) NATIONAL 07/24 LakePoint Sports
Senior Future Games (Class of 2025) NATIONAL 07/24 LakePoint Sports

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